Burden of ProofEvidence-graded trading
Evidence-graded · Anti-hype · Institutional-grade

Stop trading on hype.
Make every trade earn its capital.

Burden of Proof grades the setups, indicators, and rules you already use against the actual research — with citations and honest caveats — so you trade what holds up and skip what doesn't.

Get the Playbook — $79 Get the free Session Card
No signals. No fake P&L screenshots. Just what the evidence supports — and how to apply it.

The trading-education market sells certainty it hasn't earned.

Gurus, signals, and indicators get packaged as "edge" with none of the disclosure. We do the opposite. Every concept in this framework is rated against published research and institutional practice, shown with its citations and its caveats. Caveats sharpen a method — they don't disqualify it. That's the entire point.

Start free: the one-page Session Card

An evidence-graded routine for the whole trading day — prep, the 10:00 Range-vs-Trend decision, the confluence entry gate, and the risk gate. Print it, tape it next to your monitor, run it top to bottom.

On the card:
  • The 6 Non-Negotiable Core rules
  • The daily flow → the 10:00 decision (Range / Trend → what to do)
  • The 12-factor Confluence Score (enter only at ≥ 3)
  • The 7-point Risk Gate you run before every entry
  • Six "watch-outs" that keep the edge real

Inside the Annotated Playbook

Every concept is presented in three layers: a 🔬 evidence verdict (with citations & caveats), a 📊 visual of the setup, and a 📋 printable template to log it. Six modules:

MOD 1

Risk Management

Position sizing, mechanical stops, the 9-question risk interrogation, and sizing down.

MOD 2

Technical Setups

The AM Session Range, VWAP, Volume Profile/POC, market internals, and confluence scoring.

MOD 3

Timeframe Analysis

Multi-timeframe alignment and reading trend strength without fooling yourself.

MOD 4

Options Mastery

Expirations & MOPEX, 0DTE, the JPM collar, dealer gamma, and the full risk interrogation.

MOD 5

Macro Context

Sector rotation and the global session handoff that shapes the US open.

MOD 6

Commitment & Resources

Trader psychology, the daily prep workflow, and the tools that actually matter.

✅ Every concept evidence-graded 📎 Real citations & honest caveats 📋 6 printable trade-logging templates 🗂️ The Verdict Summary card ♻️ Free updates when research changes a verdict

See exactly what you get

This is the daily backbone of the framework, and one full evidence verdict — the same format as all 24 inside.

★ THE NON-NEGOTIABLE CORE
1. Define stop, size & target BEFORE every entry. No exceptions.
2. Trade only with higher-timeframe alignment.
3. Classify Range vs Trend at 10:00 — let it govern the session.
4. Demand ≥ 3 confluence factors before you enter.
5. Never trade against strong internals ($TICK / TRIN / A-D).
6. Size down — any excitement or fear means it's too big.
✅ STRONGThe AM Session Range & 10:00 Trade
One of the most empirically validated intraday setups — with a direct peer-reviewed test behind it.
Supporting
  • Holmberg, Lönnbark & Lundström (2013) tested opening-range-breakout strategies directly and found returns significantly above a fair game.
  • Toby Crabel (1990) documented the opening-range edge in a large open/high/low/close study.
  • Volume is U-shaped — the open is one of the two busiest, most volatile windows, so early levels carry weight.
⚠️ Caveats — things to watch out for
  • Holmberg et al. caution that transaction costs can erode the edge — keep costs low.
  • Pair it with a Range-vs-Trend filter and volume confirmation to avoid false breakouts.
  • The 10:00 mark isn't magic — the edge is in the range, confirmed by internals.

Get the full Annotated Playbook

One-time · lifetime access
$79
  • All 6 modules, every concept evidence-graded
  • 24 verdicts with real citations & honest caveats
  • 6 printable trade-logging templates
  • The Verdict Summary card
  • Free updates whenever new research changes a verdict
Get Instant Access →
Delivered instantly after checkout. 14-day money-back guarantee.

This is for you if…

  • You're done buying signals and want a framework you actually understand.
  • You trade (or want to trade) intraday equities, futures, or SPX options.
  • You want to know why a setup works — and when it doesn't.

It's not for you if…

  • You want guaranteed wins or a "can't-lose" system. Those don't exist.
  • You want someone to tell you what to buy each morning.
  • You won't do the work of logging and reviewing your own trades.

Questions

How is it delivered?

Instantly after checkout you get the full Annotated Playbook plus the printable templates. The free Session Card is emailed the moment you sign up above.

Is this financial advice?

No. It's educational only — a framework for understanding and evaluating trading concepts. It is not advice, signals, or a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.

What makes it different from other courses?

Every concept is graded against published research and institutional practice, with the citations and the caveats shown. No hype, no fabricated results — just what the evidence supports and how to apply it.

Do I need the Playbook if I have the free card?

The card is the daily routine. The Playbook is the why behind every line on it — the evidence, the citations, the caveats, and the templates that turn the routine into a logged, reviewable process.

Refunds?

14-day money-back guarantee — if it's not for you, reply to your receipt for a full refund.